NFL Audit — 2026 Week 8

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills. Coming off a 33–30 win against Las Vegas Raiders, Buffalo Bills' last outing was exactly the kind of result their attack rate has been advertising. Final tally was right around their 32.8 PPG mark. Baltimore Ravens lost 13–35 against Cincinnati Bengals — a bump in the road relative to a middle-of-the-board attack. They came in under their 24.1 PPG clip.

Matchup math this week: Buffalo Bills' 32.8 PPG attack catches a Baltimore Ravens defense allowing 23.9 (+9 PPG). Flip it and Baltimore Ravens' 24.1 PPG offense has to solve a tougher Buffalo Bills unit (28.5 allowed, -4.4).

Names to watch: Tyler Huntley is at 298 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 28.5 PPG, above the featured-set allow average (22.7). Across the field, Zay Flowers is at 137 receiving yards per game (through Week 7) — a WR/pass-catcher look against a defense allowing 28.5 PPG, above the featured-set allow average (22.7).

Buffalo Bills own the clearer scoring mark here (32.8 vs 24.1 PPG).

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals. Coming off a 24–27 loss against Cleveland Browns, Tennessee Titans' last outing was roughly in line with a softer attack on this board. That outing ran ahead of their 15.4 PPG rate. Cincinnati Bengals just won 35–13 against Baltimore Ravens — right in line with how hard they've been scoring. They cleared their 27.2 PPG clip.

Matchup math this week: Cincinnati Bengals' 27.2 PPG unit gets a friendlier look against Tennessee Titans (22.3 allowed, +4.9). Flip it and Tennessee Titans' 15.4 PPG rate runs into a stingier Cincinnati Bengals defense (20.3 allowed, -4.9).

Names to watch: Joe Burrow is at 292 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 22.3 PPG with a +4.9 offense-vs-defense mark. Tee Higgins brings 148 receiving yards per game (through Week 7) — a WR/pass-catcher look against a defense allowing 22.3 PPG with a +4.9 offense-vs-defense mark. Cameron Ward is at 181 passing yards per game (through Week 7), but the matchup tightens against a unit allowing 20.3 (-4.9 PPG). Tony Pollard is at 129 rushing yards per game (through Week 7), but the matchup tightens against a unit allowing 20.3 (-4.9 PPG).

If you're reading the PPG board alone, Cincinnati Bengals sit ahead (27.2 vs 15.4).

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions. Minnesota Vikings won 16–10 against Indianapolis Colts — close to the script their board rate implied. Final tally was right around their 20.8 PPG mark. Coming off a 20–17 win against Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions' last outing was right in line with how hard they've been scoring. They came in under their 30.7 PPG clip.

Where the rates meet the defenses: Detroit Lions' 30.7 PPG unit gets a friendlier look against Minnesota Vikings (12.3 allowed, +18.3), while Minnesota Vikings' 20.8 PPG rate runs into a stingier Detroit Lions defense (27.5 allowed, -6.7).

From the rate sheet: Jared Goff brings 303 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 12.3 PPG with a +18.3 offense-vs-defense mark. Amon-Ra St. Brown is at 153 receiving yards per game (through Week 7) — a WR/pass-catcher look against a defense allowing 12.3 PPG with a +18.3 offense-vs-defense mark. Kyler Murray is at 150 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 27.5 PPG, above the featured-set allow average (22.7). Jordan Mason is at 68 rushing yards per game (through Week 7) — an RB/rush edge vs a unit allowing 27.5 PPG (softer than the board’s 22.7 allow average).

Detroit Lions own the clearer scoring mark here (30.7 vs 20.8 PPG).

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets. New York Jets just lost 25–28 against Miami Dolphins — roughly in line with a softer attack on this board. That outing ran ahead of their 19.6 PPG rate. Coming off a 21–35 loss against Los Angeles Rams, Las Vegas Raiders' last outing was a bump in the road relative to a middle-of-the-board attack. They came in under their 26.1 PPG clip.

Matchup math this week: New York Jets' 19.6 PPG offense has to solve a tougher Las Vegas Raiders unit (28.1 allowed, -8.6). Flip it and Las Vegas Raiders' 26.1 PPG attack catches a New York Jets defense allowing 21.4 (+4.7 PPG).

From the rate sheet: Geno Smith brings 287 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 28.1 PPG, above the featured-set allow average (22.7). Omar Cooper Jr. brings 115 receiving yards per game (through Week 7) — a WR/pass-catcher look against a defense allowing 28.1 PPG, above the featured-set allow average (22.7). Kirk Cousins is at 295 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 21.4 PPG with a +4.7 offense-vs-defense mark. Tre Tucker brings 103 receiving yards per game (through Week 7) — a WR/pass-catcher look against a defense allowing 21.4 PPG with a +4.7 offense-vs-defense mark.

Las Vegas Raiders own the sharper scoring rate here (26.1 vs 19.6 PPG).

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles Rams won 35–21 against Las Vegas Raiders — close to the script their board rate implied. That outing ran ahead of their 24.3 PPG rate. Los Angeles Chargers just lost 6–22 against Kansas City Chiefs — roughly in line with a softer attack on this board. They came in under their 15 PPG clip.

Matchup math this week: Los Angeles Rams' offense vs Los Angeles Chargers' defense is near even (-0.9 PPG). Flip it and Los Angeles Chargers' 15 PPG offense has to solve a tougher Los Angeles Rams unit (22.7 allowed, -7.7).

Names to watch: Matthew Stafford is at 195 passing yards per game (through Week 7) — a passing look against a defense allowing 25.2 PPG, above the featured-set allow average (22.7). Across the field, Kyren Williams brings 99 rushing yards per game (through Week 7) — an RB/rush edge vs a unit allowing 25.2 PPG (softer than the board’s 22.7 allow average).

Board lean: Los Angeles Rams on the scoring edge (24.3 vs 15 PPG).