Premier League Audit — 2026/27 Matchday 9
2026/27 Matchday 9 · published 2026-10-28
2026/27 Matchday 9 snapshot
Brighton lead the featured Premier League set at 2.9 GF/game on a LWWWW run.
Sunderland sit at the soft end of this board (0.8 GF/game, 1.8 GA/game).
10 featured fixtures — goals-for rates are mostly clustered, so form strings and defensive marks matter more than raw averages.
Featured matchups
Manchester United at Chelsea. Recent results set the tone: Chelsea (LWWLD) average 2.1 GF/game and 1.9 allowed; Manchester United (LDDDL) check in at 1.3 and 1.6.
Line each offense against the defense it faces and Chelsea's offense vs Manchester United's defense lands near even (+0.5 GF/game); the road offense vs Chelsea's defense is similarly tight (-0.6).
João Pedro is rolling at 5 goals season (through Matchday 8). On the other side, B. Mbeumo is rolling at 11 shots on goal season (through Matchday 8).
No clean goals-for separation here; the rates leave this one close on the audit board.
Brighton at Manchester City. Manchester City come in off a win — winning 4 of their last 5, putting up 2.5 GF/game while allowing 1.1. Brighton come in off a win — winning 4 of their last 5, at 2.9 GF/game and 0.9 allowed.
Line each offense against the defense it faces and Manchester City's attack (2.5 GF/game) draws a Brighton defense allowing 0.9 — a +1.6 GF/game matchup mark; Brighton get a softer look against a unit allowing 1.1 (+1.8 GF/game).
E. Haaland (9 goals season, through Matchday 8) is the production piece drawing a defense allowing 0.9 GA/game. P. Groß (4 assists season, through Matchday 8) is the production piece drawing a defense allowing 1.1 GA/game. C. Kostoulas (20 shots season, through Matchday 8) is the production piece drawing a defense allowing 1.1 GA/game.
No clean goals-for separation here; the rates leave this one close on the audit board.
Nottingham Forest at Brentford. Nottingham Forest come in off a win — riding a DLLLW form line, carrying 0.8 GF/game and giving up 1.3. Brentford arrive after a draw — riding a DLDWD form line, scoring at 1.8 GF/game with 1.1 GA/game on the other side.
On the cross-matchup board, Brentford's offense vs Nottingham Forest's defense lands near even (+0.5 GF/game). Flip it and the road offense vs Brentford's defense is similarly tight (-0.4).
No clean goals-for separation here; the rates leave this one close on the audit board.
Ipswich at Hull City. Ipswich come in off a win — riding a DLWLW form line, carrying 1.5 GF/game and giving up 2. Hull City arrive after a draw — riding a DLDLD form line, scoring at 1.1 GF/game with 1 GA/game on the other side.
The honest rate matchup: Hull City's offense vs Ipswich's defense lands near even (-0.9 GF/game), while the road offense vs Hull City's defense is similarly tight (+0.5).
No clean goals-for separation here; the rates leave this one close on the audit board.
Everton at Newcastle. Everton arrive after a draw — riding a LLDWD form line, carrying 1 GF/game and giving up 1.1. Newcastle are bouncing back from a loss — riding a WLLWL form line, scoring at 1.5 GF/game with 1.8 GA/game on the other side.
On the cross-matchup board, Newcastle's offense vs Everton's defense lands near even (+0.4 GF/game). Flip it and the road offense vs Newcastle's defense is similarly tight (-0.7).
T. Barry is rolling at 12 shots on goal season (through Matchday 8).
The board reads near even on goals-for — neither side owns a clear rate edge heading into this one.
Club form (matchday fixtures)
Brighton (LWWWW) are at 2.9 GF/game, 1.5 above the featured-set average, while allowing 0.9 GA/game.
Manchester City (LWWWW) are at 2.5 GF/game, 1.1 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.1 GA/game.
Chelsea (LWWLD) are at 2.1 GF/game, 0.7 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.9 GA/game.
Brentford (DLDWD) are at 1.8 GF/game, 0.4 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.1 GA/game.
Player rates in this matchday's fixtures
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads goals at 9 (through Matchday 8).
Evanilson (Bournemouth) leads assists at 4 (through Matchday 8).
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads shots on goal at 15 (through Matchday 8).
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads shots at 25 (through Matchday 8).
Notes on the numbers
Each club is graded on goals scored and allowed per game for this matchday's featured set. Every attack is then lined up against the defense it actually faces.
2026/27 Matchday 9 club scoring vs featured-set average
| Club | Form | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | LWWWW | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Manchester City | LWWWW | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Chelsea | LWWLD | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Brentford | DLDWD | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Arsenal | WWWLW | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Newcastle | WLLWL | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Ipswich | DLWLW | 1.5 | 2 | 0.1 |
| Bournemouth | WWLLD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Liverpool | WWLWD | 1.4 | 1 | 0 |
| Manchester United | LDDDL | 1.3 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
| Leeds | DDLDW | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.3 |
| Aston Villa | WWDWL | 1.1 | 1.5 | -0.3 |
| Hull City | DLDLD | 1.1 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Crystal Palace | LLWDL | 1.1 | 2.4 | -0.3 |
| Everton | LLDWD | 1 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
| Tottenham | WWDLD | 1 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
| Fulham | WWLDD | 1 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
| Nottingham Forest | DLLLW | 0.8 | 1.3 | -0.6 |
| Coventry | LLWWL | 0.8 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Sunderland | DLLLL | 0.8 | 1.8 | -0.6 |
2026/27 Matchday 9 matchup comps — attack vs the defense it faces
Home GF/game is what the home attack usually scores; Away GA/game is what the visitor’s defense usually concedes — Home attack vs away defense is simply that offense minus that defense (positive means the home attack outpaces this opponent). The mirror columns do the same for the away attack against the home defense.
| Fixture | Home GF | Away GA | Home atk vs away def | Away GF | Home GA | Away atk vs home def |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United @ Chelsea | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Leeds @ Bournemouth | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -0.5 |
| Brighton @ Manchester City | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Nottingham Forest @ Brentford | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
| Ipswich @ Hull City | 1.1 | 2 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Sunderland @ Coventry | 0.8 | 1.8 | -1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | -1.1 |
| Crystal Palace @ Tottenham | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 |
| Fulham @ Aston Villa | 1.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| Arsenal @ Liverpool | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Everton @ Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.7 |
2026/27 Matchday 9 goals leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 9 | — |
| A. Isak | Liverpool | 6 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 5 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 5 | — |
| R. Cherki | Manchester City | 4 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 assists leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 4 | — |
| P. Groß | Brighton | 4 | — |
| D. Rice | Arsenal | 4 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 3 | — |
| C. Palmer | Chelsea | 3 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 shots on goal leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 15 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 12 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 11 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 11 | — |
| B. Saka | Arsenal | 10 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 shots leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 25 | — |
| C. Kostoulas | Brighton | 20 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 20 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 19 | — |
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 18 | — |
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Data attribution: Stats for informational analysis only. Verify figures against official league sources.