Premier League Audit — 2026/27 Matchday 9
2026/27 Matchday 9 · published 2026-10-29
2026/27 Matchday 9 snapshot
Brighton lead the featured Premier League set at 2.9 GF/game, winning 4 of their last 5.
Sunderland sit at the soft end of this board (0.8 GF/game, 1.8 GA/game).
10 featured fixtures — goals-for rates are mostly clustered, so defensive marks and prior results matter more than raw averages.
Featured matchups
Manchester United at Chelsea. Manchester United lost last time — a bump in the road relative to a middle-of-the-board attack. In the previous match, Chelsea drew — a fair read of a middle-rate attack.
On the matchup card, Chelsea's offense vs Manchester United's defense is near even (+0.5 GF/game), while Manchester United's away attack vs Chelsea's defense is tight (-0.6).
Players on the card: C. Palmer sits on 18 shots season (through Matchday 8) into this fixture. Pedro Neto sits on 10 shots on goal season (through Matchday 8) into this fixture. B. Mbeumo sits on 19 shots season (through Matchday 8) into this fixture.
Even card on goals-for; nothing here separates cleanly on rates alone.
Brighton at Manchester City. In the previous match, Brighton won — close to the script their board rate implied. They're winning 4 of their last 5. In the previous match, Manchester City won — about what their scoring rate suggested. They're winning 4 of their last 5.
On the matchup card, Manchester City's 2.5 GF/game attack faces a Brighton side conceding 0.9 (+1.6), while Brighton's 2.9 GF/game attack faces a Manchester City side conceding 1.1 (+1.8).
Players on the card: E. Haaland sits on 25 shots season (through Matchday 8) — a scoring look against a side allowing 0.9 GA/game (+1.6 GF/game matchup mark). R. Cherki sits on 4 goals season (through Matchday 8) — a scoring look against a side allowing 0.9 GA/game (+1.6 GF/game matchup mark). C. Kostoulas sits on 20 shots season (through Matchday 8) — a scoring look against a side allowing 1.1 GA/game (+1.8 GF/game matchup mark). P. Groß sits on 4 assists season (through Matchday 8) — a scoring look against a side allowing 1.1 GA/game (+1.8 GF/game matchup mark).
Even card on goals-for; nothing here separates cleanly on rates alone.
Nottingham Forest at Brentford. In the previous match, Nottingham Forest won — close to the script their board rate implied. Brentford drew last time — a fair read of a middle-rate attack.
Matchday rate sheet: Brentford's offense vs Nottingham Forest's defense is near even (+0.5 GF/game). Reverse the fixtures and Nottingham Forest's away attack vs Brentford's defense is tight (-0.4).
No player rate lines for Nottingham Forest or Brentford on this matchday board — club goals-for/against above still set the card.
Even card on goals-for; nothing here separates cleanly on rates alone.
Ipswich at Hull City. In the previous match, Ipswich won — close to the script their board rate implied. Hull City drew last time — a fair read of a middle-rate attack.
Goals-for against the side they actually face: Hull City's offense vs Ipswich's defense is near even (-0.9 GF/game); Ipswich's away attack vs Hull City's defense is tight (+0.5).
Creators in focus: M. Belloumi sits on 18 shots season (through Matchday 8) into this fixture; J. Enciso sits on 18 shots season (through Matchday 8) into this fixture.
Even card on goals-for; nothing here separates cleanly on rates alone.
Everton at Newcastle. Newcastle lost last time — a bump in the road relative to a middle-of-the-board attack. In the previous match, Everton drew — a fair read of a middle-rate attack.
Matchday rate sheet: Newcastle's offense vs Everton's defense is near even (+0.4 GF/game). Reverse the fixtures and Everton's away attack vs Newcastle's defense is tight (-0.7).
Attacker worth the look: T. Barry sits on 20 shots season (through Matchday 8) into this fixture.
Even card on goals-for; nothing here separates cleanly on rates alone.
Club form (matchday fixtures)
Brighton are at 2.9 GF/game, 1.5 above the featured-set average, while allowing 0.9 GA/game.
Manchester City are at 2.5 GF/game, 1.1 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.1 GA/game.
Chelsea are at 2.1 GF/game, 0.7 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.9 GA/game.
Brentford are at 1.8 GF/game, 0.4 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.1 GA/game.
Player rates in this matchday's fixtures
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads goals at 9 (through Matchday 8).
Evanilson (Bournemouth) leads assists at 4 (through Matchday 8).
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads shots on goal at 15 (through Matchday 8).
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads shots at 25 (through Matchday 8).
Notes on the numbers
Each club is graded on goals scored and allowed per game for this matchday's featured set. Every attack is then lined up against the defense it actually faces.
2026/27 Matchday 9 club scoring vs featured-set average
| Club | Form | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | LWWWW | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Manchester City | LWWWW | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Chelsea | LWWLD | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Brentford | DLDWD | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Arsenal | WWWLW | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Newcastle | WLLWL | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Ipswich | DLWLW | 1.5 | 2 | 0.1 |
| Bournemouth | WWLLD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Liverpool | WWLWD | 1.4 | 1 | 0 |
| Manchester United | LDDDL | 1.3 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
| Leeds | DDLDW | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.3 |
| Aston Villa | WWDWL | 1.1 | 1.5 | -0.3 |
| Hull City | DLDLD | 1.1 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Crystal Palace | LLWDL | 1.1 | 2.4 | -0.3 |
| Everton | LLDWD | 1 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
| Tottenham | WWDLD | 1 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
| Fulham | WWLDD | 1 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
| Nottingham Forest | DLLLW | 0.8 | 1.3 | -0.6 |
| Coventry | LLWWL | 0.8 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Sunderland | DLLLL | 0.8 | 1.8 | -0.6 |
2026/27 Matchday 9 matchup comps — attack vs the defense it faces
Home GF/game is what the home attack usually scores; Away GA/game is what the visitor’s defense usually concedes — Home attack vs away defense is simply that offense minus that defense (positive means the home attack outpaces this opponent). The mirror columns do the same for the away attack against the home defense.
| Fixture | Home GF | Away GA | Home atk vs away def | Away GF | Home GA | Away atk vs home def |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United @ Chelsea | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Leeds @ Bournemouth | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -0.5 |
| Brighton @ Manchester City | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Nottingham Forest @ Brentford | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
| Ipswich @ Hull City | 1.1 | 2 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Sunderland @ Coventry | 0.8 | 1.8 | -1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | -1.1 |
| Crystal Palace @ Tottenham | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 |
| Fulham @ Aston Villa | 1.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| Arsenal @ Liverpool | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Everton @ Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.7 |
2026/27 Matchday 9 goals leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 9 | — |
| A. Isak | Liverpool | 6 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 5 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 5 | — |
| R. Cherki | Manchester City | 4 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 assists leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 4 | — |
| P. Groß | Brighton | 4 | — |
| D. Rice | Arsenal | 4 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 3 | — |
| C. Palmer | Chelsea | 3 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 shots on goal leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 15 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 12 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 11 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 11 | — |
| B. Saka | Arsenal | 10 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 shots leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 25 | — |
| C. Kostoulas | Brighton | 20 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 20 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 19 | — |
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 18 | — |
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Data attribution: Stats for informational analysis only. Verify figures against official league sources.