Premier League Audit — 2026/27 Matchday 9
2026/27 Matchday 9 · published 2026-10-30
2026/27 Matchday 9 snapshot
Brighton lead the featured Premier League set at 2.9 GF/game, winning 4 of their last 5.
Sunderland sit at the soft end of this board (0.8 GF/game, 1.8 GA/game).
10 featured fixtures — goals-for rates are mostly clustered, so defensive marks and prior results matter more than raw averages.
Featured matchups
Manchester United at Chelsea. Manchester United lost 0–3 against Bournemouth last time out — a bump against a middle-of-the-board goals-for profile. Final tally was about in line with how they've been scoring. Last matchday, Chelsea lost 0–2 against Tottenham. That was a setback relative to how freely they've been scoring. That scoreline lagged what they've usually produced.
| Club | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
| Chelsea | 2.1 | 1.9 | +0.7 |
| Manchester United | 1.3 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
Chelsea have been finding the net more freely than most on this set, though chances keep coming the other way too. Manchester United sit in the middle of the pack for goals, though chances keep coming the other way too.
| Attack | Opp GA/game | Edge |
| Chelsea vs Manchester United | 1.6 | +0.5 |
| Manchester United vs Chelsea | 1.9 | -0.6 |
Neither club draws a clearly soft look once the attacks are lined up. The edges are small, so game state and who finishes their chances matter more than raw volume.
Who looks sharp: C. Palmer and Pedro Neto are the Chelsea names to watch on the player board. At the other end, B. Mbeumo is the Manchester United name carrying the visitor rates.
| Player | Club | Metric | Value (through Matchday 8) |
| C. Palmer | Chelsea | shots | 18 |
| Pedro Neto | Chelsea | shots on target | 10 |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | shots | 19 |
Averages leave it tight; the cross-matchup table still tips toward Chelsea.
Brighton at Manchester City. Last matchday, Brighton lost 0–2 against Liverpool. That was a setback relative to how freely they've been scoring. They underperformed their season scoring clip. They're winning 4 of their last 5. Manchester City lost 1–2 against Aston Villa in their previous fixture — a setback relative to how freely they've been scoring. That scoreline lagged what they've usually produced. They're winning 4 of their last 5.
| Club | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
| Manchester City | 2.5 | 1.1 | +1.1 |
| Brighton | 2.9 | 0.9 | +1.5 |
On recent form, Manchester City have been finding the net more freely than most on this set, with a middling defensive mark. Across the divide, Brighton have been one of the more expansive attacks on this board, and they've been tight at the back.
| Attack | Opp GA/game | Edge |
| Manchester City vs Brighton | 0.9 | +1.6 |
| Brighton vs Manchester City | 1.1 | +1.8 |
Cross-matched, neither defense looks especially stingy here, so both clubs should find space if their chance creation holds.
E. Haaland and R. Cherki carry Manchester City's chance creation into a friendlier look; C. Kostoulas and P. Groß lead Brighton's attacking rates against a softer defensive mark.
| Player | Club | Metric | Value (through Matchday 8) |
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | shots | 25 |
| R. Cherki | Manchester City | goals | 4 |
| C. Kostoulas | Brighton | shots | 20 |
| P. Groß | Brighton | assists | 4 |
Rates leave the defensive marks close, but Brighton still own the clearer goals-for clip on the club table — that is the audit lean, not a score call.
Nottingham Forest at Brentford. Nottingham Forest drew 1–1 against Ipswich in their previous fixture — a fair share of the points for a quieter attack. Final tally was about in line with how they've been scoring. Brentford drew 1–1 against Hull City last time out — a fair share of the points for a middle-rate attack. The scoreline sat near their usual output.
| Club | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
| Brentford | 1.8 | 1.1 | +0.4 |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.8 | 1.3 | -0.6 |
Brentford are a middle-of-the-board attack on this set, with a middling defensive mark. Nottingham Forest have looked quieter in attack, with a middling defensive mark.
| Attack | Opp GA/game | Edge |
| Brentford vs Nottingham Forest | 1.3 | +0.5 |
| Nottingham Forest vs Brentford | 1.1 | -0.4 |
The cross-matchup sheet is tight. Volume edges are modest, and the cleaner story is which side converts the chances they create.
Individual goals, assists, and shot rates for Nottingham Forest and Brentford did not land on this board — lean on the club tables above for the matchup story.
Raw goals-for rates look close, but once each attack meets the defense it faces, the edge sits with Brentford.
Ipswich at Hull City. Ipswich drew 1–1 against Nottingham Forest in their previous fixture — a fair share of the points for a middle-rate attack. Final tally was about in line with how they've been scoring. Hull City drew 1–1 against Brentford last time out — a fair share of the points for a middle-rate attack. The scoreline sat near their usual output.
| Club | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
| Hull City | 1.1 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Ipswich | 1.5 | 2 | +0.1 |
Club trends into this one: Hull City are a middle-of-the-board attack on this set, and they've been tight at the back. Ipswich sit in the middle of the pack for goals, though chances keep coming the other way too.
| Attack | Opp GA/game | Edge |
| Hull City vs Ipswich | 2 | -0.9 |
| Ipswich vs Hull City | 1 | +0.5 |
The cross-matchup sheet is tight. Volume edges are modest, and the cleaner story is which side converts the chances they create.
M. Belloumi is the Hull City name to watch on the player board. J. Enciso is the Ipswich name carrying the visitor rates.
| Player | Club | Metric | Value (through Matchday 8) |
| M. Belloumi | Hull City | shots | 18 |
| J. Enciso | Ipswich | shots | 18 |
Raw goals-for rates look close, but once each attack meets the defense it faces, the edge sits with Ipswich.
Everton at Newcastle. Newcastle won 2–0 against Crystal Palace last time out — roughly in line with a middle-of-the-board attack. Final tally was about in line with how they've been scoring. Everton lost 0–2 against Arsenal in their previous fixture — a bump against a middle-of-the-board goals-for profile. The scoreline sat near their usual output.
| Club | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
| Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.1 |
| Everton | 1 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
Club trends into this one: Newcastle sit in the middle of the pack for goals, though chances keep coming the other way too. Everton are a middle-of-the-board attack on this set, with a middling defensive mark.
| Attack | Opp GA/game | Edge |
| Newcastle vs Everton | 1.1 | +0.4 |
| Everton vs Newcastle | 1.8 | -0.7 |
The cross-matchup sheet is tight. Volume edges are modest, and the cleaner story is which side converts the chances they create.
T. Barry is the Everton name carrying the visitor rates
| Player | Club | Metric | Value (through Matchday 8) |
| T. Barry | Everton | shots | 20 |
Averages leave it tight; the cross-matchup table still tips toward Newcastle.
Club form (matchday fixtures)
Brighton are at 2.9 GF/game, 1.5 above the featured-set average, while allowing 0.9 GA/game.
Manchester City are at 2.5 GF/game, 1.1 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.1 GA/game.
Chelsea are at 2.1 GF/game, 0.7 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.9 GA/game.
Brentford are at 1.8 GF/game, 0.4 above the featured-set average, while allowing 1.1 GA/game.
Player rates in this matchday's fixtures
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads goals at 9 (through Matchday 8).
Evanilson (Bournemouth) leads assists at 4 (through Matchday 8).
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads shots on goal at 15 (through Matchday 8).
E. Haaland (Manchester City) leads shots at 25 (through Matchday 8).
Notes on the numbers
Each club is graded on goals scored and allowed per game for this matchday's featured set. Every attack is then lined up against the defense it actually faces.
2026/27 Matchday 9 club scoring vs featured-set average
| Club | Form | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
| Brighton | LWWWW | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Manchester City | LWWWW | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Chelsea | LWWLD | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Brentford | DLDWD | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Arsenal | WWWLW | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Newcastle | WLLWL | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Ipswich | DLWLW | 1.5 | 2 | 0.1 |
| Bournemouth | WWLLD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Liverpool | WWLWD | 1.4 | 1 | 0 |
| Manchester United | LDDDL | 1.3 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
| Leeds | DDLDW | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.3 |
| Aston Villa | WWDWL | 1.1 | 1.5 | -0.3 |
| Hull City | DLDLD | 1.1 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Crystal Palace | LLWDL | 1.1 | 2.4 | -0.3 |
| Everton | LLDWD | 1 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
| Tottenham | WWDLD | 1 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
| Fulham | WWLDD | 1 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
| Nottingham Forest | DLLLW | 0.8 | 1.3 | -0.6 |
| Coventry | LLWWL | 0.8 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Sunderland | DLLLL | 0.8 | 1.8 | -0.6 |
2026/27 Matchday 9 matchup comps — attack vs the defense it faces
Home GF/game is what the home attack usually scores; Away GA/game is what the visitor’s defense usually concedes — Home attack vs away defense is simply that offense minus that defense (positive means the home attack outpaces this opponent). The mirror columns do the same for the away attack against the home defense.
| Matchup | Home GF | Away GA | Home atk vs away def | Away GF | Home GA | Away atk vs home def |
| Manchester United @ Chelsea | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Leeds @ Bournemouth | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -0.5 |
| Brighton @ Manchester City | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Nottingham Forest @ Brentford | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -0.4 |
| Ipswich @ Hull City | 1.1 | 2 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Sunderland @ Coventry | 0.8 | 1.8 | -1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | -1.1 |
| Crystal Palace @ Tottenham | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 |
| Fulham @ Aston Villa | 1.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| Arsenal @ Liverpool | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Everton @ Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.7 |
2026/27 Matchday 9 goals leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 9 | — |
| A. Isak | Liverpool | 6 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 5 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 5 | — |
| R. Cherki | Manchester City | 4 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 assists leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 4 | — |
| P. Groß | Brighton | 4 | — |
| D. Rice | Arsenal | 4 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 3 | — |
| C. Palmer | Chelsea | 3 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 shots on goal leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 15 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 12 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 11 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 11 | — |
| B. Saka | Arsenal | 10 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 9 shots leaders (through Matchday 8)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 25 | — |
| C. Kostoulas | Brighton | 20 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 20 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 19 | — |
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 18 | — |
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Data attribution: Stats for informational analysis only. Verify figures against official league sources.