Premier League Audit — 2026/27 Matchday 10
2026/27 Matchday 10 · published 2026-11-03
The biggest storyline this week is a quiet changing of the guard in the attacking numbers. Brighton are scoring 2.7 goals a game, the highest figure among the clubs in this set. They have won four of their last five, and their latest win was a 1-0 over Manchester City. City still carry the second-best scoring rate here at 2.2, but they arrive at Nottingham Forest after a defeat.
That is why City's trip to Forest is the game worth circling. Forest score 0.7 a game, the lowest figure in the set, and they have lost four of their last five, the latest a 2-0 loss to Brentford. City's goals-for number is the biggest mismatch of the matchday. A game like this tests whether the Brighton result was a blip or the start of a wobble. My view is that it's the first. Forest have given little reason to think otherwise.
2026/27 Matchday 10 snapshot
Start with the extremes. Brighton lead the scoring at 2.7 per game and concede just 0.8. Forest sit at the other end with 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Crystal Palace have the leakiest defensive number in the set at 2.3 against per game, and Ipswich are next at 2.
The fixture list is mostly tight. Most of the matchups come out close on the numbers, including Everton against Coventry, Leeds against Tottenham, Ipswich against Bournemouth and Manchester United against Aston Villa. The two games that stand out are City at Forest, where the scoring gap is the widest at 1.6, and Brighton against Brentford, which pits the best home attack against a visitor scoring 1.8 a game.
Featured matchups
Brighton against Brentford is the best attack-versus-attack game of the week. Brighton's 2.7 goals per game against a Brentford defence conceding 1 per game is a strong setup for the home side. Brentford are no pushovers, though. They score 1.8 a game, and they won 2-0 at Forest last time out. Brighton's shutout of City showed they can win without the goals. If both clubs are at their level, this should be entertaining.
Arsenal host Hull City, and the defensive numbers are the story. Arsenal concede only 0.6 per game and just beat Liverpool 1-0, the sort of result that suits their profile. Hull have drawn four of their last five and last time out drew 2-2 with Ipswich. They score 1.2 a game, so they will need to find extra production against the stingiest defence in this set.
Sunderland against Chelsea looks lopsided on paper. Sunderland score 0.8 and concede 1.9, and they have lost four of their last five, most recently 3-1 to Coventry. Chelsea score 2.1 and beat Manchester United 2-0. Chelsea concede 1.7 a game, though, so Sunderland aren't entirely without a route in. Still, I'd want to see the hosts show something before treating this as competitive.
At Selhurst Park, Crystal Palace host Liverpool. Palace concede 2.3 a game and lost 2-0 to Tottenham last time out. Liverpool also lost last time, 1-0 to Arsenal, and score only 1.2 per game. This one is closer than the reputations suggest, and it comes down to which club's finishing shows up.
The rest are tight. Everton and Coventry both score 1 per game, and Everton just beat Newcastle 1-0. Leeds host Tottenham, with Leeds at 1 scored and 0.9 conceded against Tottenham's 1.1 and 1.1. Fulham face Newcastle, Ipswich host Bournemouth, who won 2-0 against Leeds, and Manchester United host Aston Villa. United have lost to Chelsea and are winless in their last five, while Villa drew 1-1 with Fulham last time out. If you want a game that could break either way, that last one is it.
Club form (matchday fixtures)
Brighton are the headline. They score 2.7 a game, well above the league average by the numbers, and concede 0.8. Their form string shows four wins from five, which fits the profile of a club that is both scoring and keeping games under control.
Manchester City score 2.2 and concede 1.1, with three wins in their last five and a 1-0 loss to Brighton fresh in the memory. Chelsea score 2.1 but concede 1.7, so their games tend to have more going on than City's. Brentford sit at 1.8 scored and 1 conceded, with a win over Forest last time out.
Arsenal are the defensive standard at 0.6 against per game. They have won four of their last five, and the scoring rate of 1.6 is enough when the back line is that tight. Bournemouth score 1.6 and concede 1.4, and their last result was a 2-0 win over Leeds.
At the bottom, Forest and Sunderland have each lost four of their last five. Forest's problem is goals, at 0.7 per game. Sunderland's is both ends, at 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded. Manchester United, meanwhile, have not won in their last five. That's a worry for a club with an attack scoring 1.1 per game.
Player rates in this matchday's fixtures
Erling Haaland is the standout. He leads the league's goal tally in this set with 9, the shots-on-goal count with 16 and total shots with 28. Those are big numbers, and they make the City trip to Forest all the more interesting. Forest's low scoring rate gives Haaland a defence that has conceded 1.3 per game to work against.
Behind him, A. Isak of Liverpool has 6 goals, and Chelsea have a pair of scorers in João Pedro and M. Rogers, each on 5. M. Tavernier of Bournemouth is also on 5 goals and has 13 shots on goal, so he is a name to watch when Bournemouth visit Ipswich.
Creators are led by D. Rice of Arsenal with 5 assists. Evanilson of Bournemouth and P. Groß of Brighton each have 4, and Groß is one of the reasons Brighton's attack is humming. João Pedro and C. Palmer of Chelsea each have 3 assists, so Chelsea's attack has more than one source.
On volume, J. Enciso of Ipswich has 23 shots, behind only Haaland. T. Barry of Everton has 22 shots and 13 on goal, and C. Palmer has 21 shots. B. Mbeumo of Manchester United has 20 shots and 12 on goal, which is some consolation for a United attack that otherwise hasn't been producing wins. Pedro Neto of Chelsea also has 12 shots on goal.
Notes on the numbers
Each club is graded on goals scored and allowed per game for this matchday's featured set. Every attack is then lined up against the defense it actually faces.
2026/27 Matchday 10 club scoring vs featured-set average
| Club | Form | GF/game | GA/game | GF vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | WLWWW | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Manchester City | LLWWW | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Chelsea | WLWWL | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Brentford | WDLDW | 1.8 | 1 | 0.4 |
| Arsenal | WWWWL | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Bournemouth | WWWLL | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Ipswich | DDLWL | 1.6 | 2 | 0.2 |
| Newcastle | LWLLW | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Liverpool | LWWLW | 1.2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Hull City | DDLDL | 1.2 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| Tottenham | WWWDL | 1.1 | 1.1 | -0.2 |
| Aston Villa | DWWDW | 1.1 | 1.4 | -0.2 |
| Manchester United | LLDDD | 1.1 | 1.7 | -0.2 |
| Everton | WLLDW | 1 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Leeds | LDDLD | 1 | 0.9 | -0.4 |
| Fulham | DWWLD | 1 | 1.2 | -0.4 |
| Coventry | WLLWW | 1 | 1.8 | -0.4 |
| Crystal Palace | LLLWD | 1 | 2.3 | -0.4 |
| Sunderland | LDLLL | 0.8 | 1.9 | -0.6 |
| Nottingham Forest | LDLLL | 0.7 | 1.3 | -0.7 |
2026/27 Matchday 10 matchup comps — attack vs the defense it faces
Home GF/game is what the home attack usually scores; Away GA/game is what the visitor’s defense usually concedes — Home attack vs away defense is simply that offense minus that defense (positive means the home attack outpaces this opponent). The mirror columns do the same for the away attack against the home defense.
| Matchup | Home GF | Away GA | Home atk vs away def | Away GF | Home GA | Away atk vs home def |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry @ Everton | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tottenham @ Leeds | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Newcastle @ Fulham | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Hull City @ Arsenal | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Manchester City @ Nottingham Forest | 0.7 | 1.1 | -0.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Brentford @ Brighton | 2.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Liverpool @ Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.3 | -1.1 |
| Bournemouth @ Ipswich | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Chelsea @ Sunderland | 0.8 | 1.7 | -0.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Aston Villa @ Manchester United | 1.1 | 1.4 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -0.6 |
2026/27 Matchday 10 goals leaders (through Matchday 9)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 9 | — |
| A. Isak | Liverpool | 6 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 5 | — |
| M. Rogers | Chelsea | 5 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 5 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 10 assists leaders (through Matchday 9)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rice | Arsenal | 5 | — |
| Evanilson | Bournemouth | 4 | — |
| P. Groß | Brighton | 4 | — |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 3 | — |
| C. Palmer | Chelsea | 3 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 10 shots on goal leaders (through Matchday 9)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 16 | — |
| M. Tavernier | Bournemouth | 13 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 13 | — |
| Pedro Neto | Chelsea | 12 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 12 | — |
2026/27 Matchday 10 shots leaders (through Matchday 9)
| Player | Club | Value | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | Manchester City | 28 | — |
| J. Enciso | Ipswich | 23 | — |
| T. Barry | Everton | 22 | — |
| C. Palmer | Chelsea | 21 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | Manchester United | 20 | — |
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is sports analytics commentary—not gambling advice, not investment advice, and not a prediction of guaranteed outcomes. We do not promote sportsbooks or wagering. Always verify statistics against official league sources.
Content is intended for a general sports audience interested in stats and trends. We do not target minors with wagering messages.
Data attribution: Stats for informational analysis only. Verify figures against official league sources.