Texas vs Missouri prediction and preview: form, key matchups and our pick (2026 Week 10)

College Football Audit · 2026 Week 10 · Game preview

Texas visit Missouri on Saturday, Nov 7, and the numbers frame this one clearly: the scoring rates are close. Missouri score 31.5 points per game and allow 18.4; Texas score 30.8 and allow 17.1.

How they come in

Texas won 31–3 against Mississippi State last time out. Form: they have won 2 in a row. They are scoring 30.8 points per game and allowing 17.1.

Missouri won 34–10 against Arkansas last time out. Form: they have won their last game (a single win). They are scoring 31.5 points per game and allowing 18.4.

The matchup that decides it

When Missouri have the ball, their 31.5 points a game meet a defense allowing 17.1 — a difference of 14.4. Flip it around and Texas' 30.8 meet a defense allowing 18.4, a difference of 12.4.

Players to watch

Arch Manning (Texas) is averaging 220 passing yards per game through Week 9.

Emmett Mosley V (Texas) is averaging 98 receiving yards per game through Week 9.

Austin Simmons (Missouri) is averaging 179 passing yards per game through Week 9.

Jamal Roberts (Missouri) is averaging 138 rushing yards per game through Week 9.

Our pick

Our pick: too close to call. The scoring gap is only 0.8, so the team that wins the matchup above probably wins the day.

Key numbers

TeamFormPPG forPPG against
TexasW230.817.1
MissouriW131.518.4

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is sports analytics commentary—not gambling advice, not investment advice, and not a prediction of guaranteed outcomes. We do not promote sportsbooks or wagering. Always verify statistics against official league sources.

Content is intended for a general sports audience interested in stats and trends. We do not target minors with wagering messages.

Data attribution: Stats for informational analysis only. Verify figures against official league sources.

Questions and answers

When is Texas vs Missouri?

Saturday, Nov 7, 12:00 PM ET.

How have both teams been playing?

Texas: 30.8 points scored and 17.1 allowed per game; won 2 in a row. Missouri: 31.5 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game; won their last game (a single win) (2026 Week 10).